notes
In Rolf Dobelli's "The Art of Thinking Clearly," you'll encounter an arsenal of counterintuitive yet practical tools to sharpen your reasoning and guide you towards sounder decisions. Here are some key lessons the book offers: 1. Question the cause: Avoid simplistic explanations for complex events. Consider alternative factors and hidden variables that might be contributing to the outcome. Don't fall prey to the illusion of a single, direct cause-and-effect relationship. 2. Beware of survivorship bias: Don't judge success based solely on visible examples. Consider the vast numbers of failures and unseen efforts that weren't successful, painting a more realistic picture of reality. 3. Resist the anchoring effect: Don't let initial information unduly influence your judgment. Be aware of how the first number you hear can set the frame for your evaluation, and actively seek out additional information for a more balanced perspective. 4. Don't confuse co